31 Aug · 15:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1620
FormLLWWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Wichowski
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1452
FormLLWWL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+168
H2H12-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+168)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-5)