31 Aug · 14:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1586
FormWWLWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Jadach
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1457
FormLLLWL
64%
36%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~78 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+129
H2H23-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+129)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-11)