31 Aug · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1589
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Wichowski
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1623
FormWLLWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+34
H2H21-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.