31 Aug · 17:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1452
FormLLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Pelka
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1380
FormWWWLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Pelka
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+72
H2H18-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)