31 Aug · 18:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1269
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Piecowski
MP
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1288
FormLLWLW
48%
52%
🌟Strus goes over total as underdog 65% (23)
Fair odds · Piecowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H6-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.