31 Aug · 18:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1481
FormWLLLL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Gesiarz
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1227
FormLWWLL
75%
25%
🌟Gesiarz stays under total as favourite 66% (35)
Fair odds · Gesiarz
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~75 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+254
H2H28-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+254)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-15)