31 Aug · 21:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1597
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Pruszkowski
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1536
FormWWWLW
57%
43%
🌟Urban covers set handicap as underdog 68% (19)
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+61
H2H76-33
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (76-33)