31 Aug · 21:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1392
FormLWWLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Rolak
MP
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1274
FormLLLLW
63%
37%
🌟Rolak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (24)
Fair odds · Rolak
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~79 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+118
H2H15-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+118)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-12)