31 Aug · 21:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1395
FormWWWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Gesiarz
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1486
FormWLWLW
40%
60%
🌟Gesiarz stays under total as favourite 66% (35)
Fair odds · Gesiarz
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+91
H2H18-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-5)