31 Aug · 22:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1637
FormLWWWW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Zelezik
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1395
FormWWWLL
74%
26%
Fair odds · Zelezik
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 81% · 1.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~75 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+242
H2H21-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+242)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-1)