31 Aug · 21:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1379
FormLWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Piecowski
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1301
FormWWWWL
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Strus🌟Piecowski goes over total as favourite 73% (22)
Fair odds · Piecowski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 47% · 2.13· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~80 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+78
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)