31 Aug · 23:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1431
FormLLLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1575
FormLLWLW
35%
65%
🌟Adamus covers set handicap as underdog 94% (18)
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+144
H2H32-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+144)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-12)