31 Aug · 23:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MP
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1288
FormWWLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Rolak
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1389
FormLLWWL
39%
61%
🌟Rolak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (24)
Fair odds · Rolak
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~79 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H15-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-13)