31 Aug · 22:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1368
FormWWWWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Urban
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1546
FormWWWWL
31%
69%
🌟Urban rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (33)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~78 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+178
H2H39-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+178)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-17)