1 Sept · 00:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1324
FormLWWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Rolak
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1398
FormWWLLW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mrugala🌟Rolak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (24)
Fair odds · Rolak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 52% · 1.91· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+74
H2H29-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)