1 Sept · 02:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1327
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Piecowski
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1374
FormLWWLL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mrugala🌟Piecowski goes over total as favourite 73% (22)
Fair odds · Piecowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~81 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)