1 Sept · 02:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1335
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Wisniewski
MP
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1295
FormWLWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+40
H2H44-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.