1 Sept · 03:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1423
FormLLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Marud
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1502
FormLWWWW
41%
59%
🌟Adamus covers set handicap as underdog 94% (18)
Fair odds · Marud
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+79
H2H17-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-14)