1 Sept · 03:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AB
🇵🇱Aleksander Barton
ELO 1200
FormLLWLL
87%Win chancemodel fair 1.15Zelezik
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1626
FormWWLWL
13%
87%
🌟Barton stays under total as underdog 69% (48)
Fair odds · Zelezik
Model 87% · 1.15vsMarket 87% · 1.15· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 74%Total ~71 pts
0-3
43%
1-3
30%
2-3
13%
3-2
6%
3-1
5%
Elo Gap+426
H2H8-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+426)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-0)