1 Sept · 03:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1564
FormLLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Pruszkowski
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1535
FormWWLLW
53%
47%
🌟Urban covers set handicap as underdog 68% (19)
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+29
H2H76-34
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.