1 Sept · 04:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1391
FormWLLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Urban
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1535
FormWWLLW
35%
65%
🌟Urban rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (33)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+144
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+144)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)