1 Sept · 04:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AB
🇵🇱Aleksander Barton
ELO 1200
FormLLWLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Staniczek
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1387
FormLWLLL
30%
70%
🌟Barton stays under total as underdog 69% (48)
Fair odds · Staniczek
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+187
H2H17-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+187)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-5)