1 Sept · 07:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1533
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Adamus
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1541
FormWWLWL
49%
51%
🌟Gumulinski covers set handicap as underdog 73% (22)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H23-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.