1 Sept · 07:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1247
FormLLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Kaczmarek
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1386
FormWLLLL
35%
65%
🌟Cesarz goes over total as underdog 62% (48)
Fair odds · Kaczmarek
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+139
H2H39-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+139)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-14)