1 Sept · 09:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SW
🇵🇱Stanislaw Wnek
ELO 1360
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Wnek
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1283
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Lukaszewski🌟Wnek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (45)
Fair odds · Wnek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+77
H2H27-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-22)