1 Sept · 09:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1455
FormLLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Ruszkiewicz
RI
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1421
FormWLWWL
54%
46%
🌟Ruszkiewicz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 7% (15)
Fair odds · Ruszkiewicz
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.41· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+34
H2H9-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.