1 Sept · 08:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SB
🇵🇱Szymon Brud
ELO 1494
FormLLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kesik
GK
🇵🇱Gracjan Kesik
ELO 1525
FormLLWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Kesik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 41% · 2.47· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+31
H2H2-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.