1 Sept · 08:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1526
FormLWLWW
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Gumulinski
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1243
FormLLLLL
78%
22%
🌟Cesarz goes over total as underdog 62% (48)
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 73% · 1.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~76 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+283
H2H8-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+283)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-6)