1 Sept · 10:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1462
FormWWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Ruszkiewicz
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1377
FormLLWWL
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kaczmarek🌟Ruszkiewicz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 7% (15)
Fair odds · Ruszkiewicz
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 62% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+85
H2H18-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-15)