1 Sept · 10:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1444
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sokolowski
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1461
FormLWLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Sokolowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.04· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H8-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.