1 Sept · 13:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1448
FormLWWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1542
FormWWWLL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+94
H2H13-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-3)