1 Sept · 14:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1459
FormWLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sokolowski
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1448
FormLWWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Sokolowski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.05· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+11
H2H8-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.