1 Sept · 13:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1598
FormWLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Adamus
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1542
FormWWWLL
56%
44%
🌟Oracz covers set handicap as underdog 65% (26)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+56
H2H34-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-22)