1 Sept · 13:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GK
🇵🇱Gracjan Kesik
ELO 1511
FormLLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sobel
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1561
FormWLWWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Sobel
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H9-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-3)