1 Sept · 13:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RN
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1488
FormLWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Niemiec
WG
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1424
FormLLWWL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Glanowski🌟Niemiec rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (37)
Fair odds · Niemiec
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~80 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+64
H2H0-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)