1 Sept · 15:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1456
FormWLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kurek
WG
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1420
FormLLLWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Kurek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+36
H2H6-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.