1 Sept · 15:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
GK
🇵🇱Gracjan Kesik
ELO 1518
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kesik
SB
🇵🇱Szymon Brud
ELO 1496
FormWLWLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Kesik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+22
H2H3-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.