1 Sept · 14:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RN
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1488
FormLWLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Adamus
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1598
FormWLWLW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~81 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)