1 Sept · 15:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AS
🇵🇱Adrian Spychala
ELO 1628
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Spychala
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1603
FormWLLWL
53%
47%
🌟Spychala rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (26)
Fair odds · Spychala
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+25
H2H55-58
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.