1 Sept · 16:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1458
FormWWLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1551
FormWLWWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+93
H2H14-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-3)