1 Sept · 20:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1327
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Wisniewski
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1288
FormWLWLW
54%
46%
🌟Gluszek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 31% (13)
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+39
H2H27-55
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.