1 Sept · 20:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Pawel Gasiorski
ELO 1755
FormWWWWW
86%Win chancemodel fair 1.16Gasiorski
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1347
FormLLLLL
86%
14%
🌟Adach stays under total as underdog 88% (16)
Fair odds · Gasiorski
Model 86% · 1.16vsMarket 83% · 1.21· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 73%Total ~71 pts
3-0
43%
3-1
30%
3-2
13%
2-3
7%
1-3
5%
Elo Gap+408
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+408)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)