1 Sept · 20:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PK
🇵🇱Piotr Kaczynski
ELO 1557
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kaczynski
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1552
FormLLWWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kaczynski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H14-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.