1 Sept · 19:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1348
FormWWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Mrugala
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1288
FormWLWLW
57%
43%
🌟Mrugala rarely covers set handicap as favourite 22% (18)
Fair odds · Mrugala
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 44% · 2.29· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+60
H2H4-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)