1 Sept · 19:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1552
FormLLWWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Pytlas
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1347
FormLLLLL
71%
29%
🌟Adach stays under total as underdog 88% (16)
Fair odds · Pytlas
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~74 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+205
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+205)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)