1 Sept · 18:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Pawel Gasiorski
ELO 1755
FormWWWWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Gasiorski
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1576
FormLLWLW
69%
31%
Fair odds · Gasiorski
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 67% · 1.50· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~77 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+179
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+179)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)