1 Sept · 21:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PK
🇵🇱Piotr Kaczynski
ELO 1567
FormWWWLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Gasiorski
PG
🇵🇱Pawel Gasiorski
ELO 1749
FormLWWWW
31%
69%
Fair odds · Gasiorski
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~78 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+182
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+182)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)