1 Sept · 23:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1336
FormLLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mrugala
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1287
FormLWLWW
55%
45%
🌟Mrugala rarely covers set handicap as favourite 22% (18)
Fair odds · Mrugala
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+49
H2H5-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)