1 Sept · 23:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1410
FormLLLLW
83%Win chancemodel fair 1.20Molenda
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1769
FormWWWWW
17%
83%
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 83% · 1.20vsMarket 87% · 1.14· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 70%Total ~70 pts
0-3
41%
1-3
29%
2-3
13%
3-2
8%
3-1
6%
Elo Gap+359
H2H14-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+359)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-2)