2 Sept · 04:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1579
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lebek
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1529
FormWWLLW
55%
45%
🌟Gumulinski covers set handicap as underdog 73% (22)
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H18-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)